Gotta love preaseason prognosticators.

Of Duke, he writes as follows:

Coach K spent part of his summer in Vegas, so we’ll talk Vegas here to close out the rankings. Behold the power of Duke: Even with a highly inexperienced team–the first year K’s ever had two sophomores (Josh McRoberts and Greg Paulus) as captains–the Blue Devils have been given 15/1 odds to win it all by one sportsbook. That’s better than eight teams that appear above Duke in these rankings: Creighton and Wichita State are 200/1, Wisconsin is 40/1, Pittsburgh and Memphis are 25/1, Arizona is 20/1, and Georgetown and LSU are 18/1. I’m not sure how legit those odds are, though: Somehow they gave my alma mater, Northwestern — which has never even been to the NCAA tournament — a 60/1 shot. Maybe the oddsmakers meant upset darling Northwestern State?

Winn’s unwillingness to discuss the merits of his choice are unfortunate, because he undoubtedly has an interesting take on why he has Duke ranked this low. But avoiding analysis is something that too many “writers” do nowadays, so I suppose it’s to be expected.

On paper–particularly without Paulus–Duke’s prospects are very much uncertain. But a little interpretation from a poll purporting to provide just that would certainly be nice.

Instead, the only reason provided is youth. That’s an insufficient rationale, simple as that.

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